Golden State Valkyries @ Phoenix Mercury

Golden State Valkyries19-8 (8-4 away)
Jul 29 22:00
Phoenix Mercury10-18 (4-9 home)
1.50DraftKings
71%
ML
29%
2.80theScore Bet
-4.5 (1.88)DraftKings
54%
Spread
46%
+5.5 (1.93)LowVig.ag
O 155.5 (1.95)Caesars
58%
O/U
42%
U 158.5 (1.91)DraftKings

Team Stats

Golden State Valkyries
Phoenix Mercury
19-8 Record 10-18
L1 Streak W2
81.9 Offence 83.0
76.4 Defence 86.5
158.3 Total 169.5
+5.5 Margin -3.6
17-10 Spread 12-16
L2 ATS Streak W2
13-14 O/U 13-15
O1 O/U Streak U2
Golden State Valkyries
Phoenix Mercury
8-4 Record 4-9
W5 Streak W1
81.0 Offence 84.7
76.8 Defence 87.8
157.8 Total 172.5
+4.3 Margin -3.2
8-4 Spread 4-9
W5 ATS Streak W1
5-7 O/U 9-4
U4 O/U Streak U1
Golden State Valkyries
Phoenix Mercury
2-0 Record 0-2
W2 Streak L2
91.0 Offence 80.0
80.0 Defence 91.0
171.0 Total 171.0
+11.0 Margin -11.0
1-1 Spread 1-1
L1 ATS Streak W1
2-0 O/U 2-0
O2 O/U Streak O2

Team Schedule

Date Opponent Result ML Spread O/U
Jul 20, '26 Washington Mystics L 82-90 L 1.29 L -8.5 O 146.5
Jul 18, '26 Washington Mystics W 74-69 W 1.25 L -8.5 U 147.5
Jul 15, '26 @ Indiana Fever W 88-75 W 2.30 W +3.5 U 163.5
Jul 10, '26 @ Connecticut Sun W 79-64 W 1.42 W -5.5 U 153
Jul 8, '26 @ Toronto Tempo W 83-75 W 1.30 W -7.5 U 164.5
Jul 6, '26 @ Washington Mystics W 62-49 W 1.38 W -6.5 U 154.5
Jul 4, '26 @ Atlanta Dream W 88-83 W 2.61 W +5 O 159.5
Jun 28, '26 New York Liberty W 76-67 W 1.91 W +1 U 162.5
Jun 26, '26 Atlanta Dream W 78-75 W 2.30 W +2.5 U 163
Jun 24, '26 Atlanta Dream W 77-66 W 2.20 W +2.5 U 165
Date Opponent Result ML Spread O/U
Jul 22, '26 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 86-82 W 2.00 W +1.5 U 175.5
Jul 19, '26 Connecticut Sun W 72-63 W 1.62 W -3.5 U 164.5
Jul 17, '26 Connecticut Sun L 83-96 L 1.59 L -3.5 O 162
Jul 13, '26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 100-104 L 6.25 W +12.5 O 169.5
Jul 11, '26 @ Las Vegas Aces L 58-106 L 4.20 L +9.5 U 167.5
Jul 9, '26 Indiana Fever L 89-92 L 2.10 L +2 O 171.5
Jul 7, '26 Chicago Sky L 66-77 L 1.64 L -2.5 U 171.5
Jul 2, '26 Seattle Storm W 90-67 W 1.60 W -3.5 U 168.5
Jun 27, '26 @ Toronto Tempo W 89-80 W 2.85 W +6.5 U 177.5
Jun 24, '26 @ Indiana Fever W 111-109 W 4.20 W +9.5 O 176
Date Home Result ML Spread O/U
Jun 9, '26 87-81 1.33 +8 O 161.5
May 10, '26 95-79 1.77 -1.5 O 157.5

Best Lines/Odds

Golden State Valkyries Phoenix Mercury
BestCurrent 1.50DraftKings 2.80theScore Bet
BestOpening 1.50DraftKings 2.80theScore Bet
Golden State Valkyries Phoenix Mercury
BestCurrent -4.5(1.88)DraftKings +5.5(1.93)LowVig.ag
BestOpening -4.5(1.88)DraftKings +5.5(1.93)LowVig.ag
Over Under
BestCurrent O 155.5-3(1.95+0.04)Caesars U 158.5-1(1.91-0.02)DraftKings
BestOpening O 158.5(1.91)BetMGM U 159.5(1.93)LowVig.ag

Odds History

Book Best Odds
Bally Bet Golden State Valkyries 1.45
Phoenix Mercury 2.75
BetMGM Golden State Valkyries 1.48
Phoenix Mercury 2.70
BetRivers Golden State Valkyries 1.45
Phoenix Mercury 2.75
Caesars Golden State Valkyries 1.47-0.01
Phoenix Mercury 2.78+0.03
DraftKings Golden State Valkyries 1.50
Phoenix Mercury 2.64+0.01
FanDuel Golden State Valkyries 1.45-0.02
Phoenix Mercury 2.76+0.04
theScore Bet Golden State Valkyries 1.48
Phoenix Mercury 2.80
Book Best Odds
Bally Bet Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.95+0.01)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.85-0.02)
BetMGM Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.95)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.87)
BetOnline.ag Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.91)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.91)
BetRivers Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.94+0.01)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.85)
Caesars Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.91-0.04)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.91+0.04)
DraftKings Golden State Valkyries -4.5(1.88)
Phoenix Mercury +4.5(1.93)
FanDuel Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.91-0.03)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.91+0.03)
LowVig.ag Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.93)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.93)
theScore Bet Golden State Valkyries -5.5(1.95)
Phoenix Mercury +5.5(1.87)
Book Best Odds
Bally Bet Over O 158.5(2.05+0.17)
Under U 158.5(1.78-0.15)
BetMGM Over O 157.5-1(1.91)
Under U 157.5-1(1.91)
BetOnline.ag Over O 155.5-4(1.91)
Under U 155.5-4(1.91)
BetRivers Over O 156.5-2(1.85-0.02)
Under U 156.5-2(1.93)
Caesars Over O 155.5-4(1.95+0.04)
Under U 155.5-4(1.87-0.04)
DraftKings Over O 158.5-1(1.91)
Under U 158.5-1(1.91)
FanDuel Over O 156.5-2(1.91+0.03)
Under U 156.5-2(1.91-0.03)
LowVig.ag Over O 155.5-4(1.93)
Under U 155.5-4(1.93)
theScore Bet Over O 157.5-1(1.87-0.04)
Under U 157.5-1(1.95+0.04)

Game Picks by Top Cappers

Capper Win% Picks
#1 lineranger 81.8%
Under 158.5@ 1.91for 2 units
#2 fieldgambler 75%
Phoenix Mercury@ 2.76for 1 unit
#3 vigorishguru 73.9%
Phoenix Mercury +5.5@ 1.85for 2 units
#4 fieldshark 73.7%
Over 159.5@ 1.91for 3 units
#5 ragrunner 71.4%
Phoenix Mercury +5.5@ 1.88for 2 units
#6 bookace 71.4%
Golden State Valkyries@ 1.47for 1 unit
#7 bookiebettor 69.2%
Phoenix Mercury +5.5@ 1.87for 3 units
#8 salamibeast 66.7%
Over 159.5@ 1.91for 3 units
#9 hedgebanker 66.7%
Over 157.5@ 1.87for 1 unit
#10 arbitragechief 66.7%
Over 158.5@ 1.88for 4 units
#11 cardbanker 65.4%
Golden State Valkyries@ 1.50for 1 unit
#12 pickemhawk 64.9%
Golden State Valkyries -5.5@ 1.94for 3 units
#13 driftcontrarian 64.7%
Golden State Valkyries@ 1.45for 2 units
#14 driftfox 64.7%
Phoenix Mercury +5.5@ 1.91for 1 unit
#15 nbahero 64.5%
Phoenix Mercury@ 2.75for 1 unit
#16 luckycrusher 64.5%
Over 158.5@ 1.91for 5 units
#17 asianlion 64.3%
Golden State Valkyries@ 1.48for 2 units
#18 bonussyndicate 64%
Under 156.5@ 1.91for 4 units
#19 valuetitan 63.3%
Golden State Valkyries -5.5@ 1.94for 2 units
#20 edgelion 63.2%
Golden State Valkyries@ 1.47for 3 units

Game Consensus

38 picks | 69 units
Golden State Valkyries
Phoenix Mercury
27 picks | 71%
11 picks | 29%
53 units | 77%
16 units | 23%
Picks Per Odds Range
Golden State Valkyries
Picks
Phoenix Mercury
1.45 - 1.50
27
11
2.63 - 2.76
92 picks | 184 units
Golden State Valkyries
Phoenix Mercury
50 picks | 54%
42 picks | 46%
100 units | 54%
84 units | 46%
Picks Per Line
Golden State Valkyries
Picks
Phoenix Mercury
-4.5
14
12
+4.5
-5.5
36
30
+5.5
97 picks | 201 units
Over
Under
56 picks | 58%
41 picks | 42%
120 units | 60%
81 units | 40%
Picks Per Line
Over
Picks
Under
O 155.5
3
3
U 155.5
O 156.5
4
5
U 156.5
O 157.5
9
3
U 157.5
O 158.5
28
19
U 158.5
O 159.5
12
11
U 159.5

Moneyline

Trends for best moneyline odds.

Golden State Valkyries (1.50)

  • Golden State Valkyries won as favorite in 14 of 16 (88%) Favorite split
  • Golden State Valkyries won as away favorite in 5 of 5 (100%) Favorite split - Away
  • Phoenix Mercury lost as home underdog in 4 of 4 (100%) Underdog split - Home
  • Phoenix Mercury lost as underdog in 13 of 17 (76%) Underdog split
  • Golden State Valkyries won 19 of 27 (70%) Season
  • Phoenix Mercury lost at home in 9 of 13 (69%) Season - Home
  • Golden State Valkyries won 5 straight on the road Streak - Away
  • Golden State Valkyries won on the road in 8 of 12 (67%) Season - Away
  • Phoenix Mercury lost 18 of 28 (64%) Season

Phoenix Mercury (2.80)

  • Phoenix Mercury won 2 straight Streak

Spread

Trends for best spread lines.

Golden State Valkyries -4.5

  • Phoenix Mercury failed to cover as home underdog in 4 of 4 (100%) Underdog ATS split - Home
  • Golden State Valkyries covered -4.5 in 5 straight on the road Streak - Away
  • Golden State Valkyries covered as favorite in 10 of 16 (63%) Favorite ATS split
  • Golden State Valkyries covered -4.5 in 16 of 27 (59%) Season at current line
  • Golden State Valkyries covered -4.5 on the road in 7 of 12 (58%) Season at current line - Away
  • Phoenix Mercury failed to cover as underdog in 10 of 18 (56%) Underdog ATS split
  • Golden State Valkyries covered as away favorite in 3 of 5 (60%) Favorite ATS split - Away
  • Phoenix Mercury failed to cover +4.5 at home in 7 of 13 (54%) Season at current line - Home

Phoenix Mercury +5.5

  • Golden State Valkyries failed to cover -5.5 in 2 straight Streak
  • Phoenix Mercury covered +5.5 in 2 straight Streak

Total

Trends for best over/under lines.

Over 155.5

  • Phoenix Mercury played over 155.5 in 22 of 28 (79%) Season at current total
  • Phoenix Mercury played over 155.5 at home in 11 of 13 (85%) Season at current total
  • Head to head played over 155.5 in 2 of 2 (100%) H2H season
  • Golden State Valkyries played over 155.5 on the road in 9 of 12 (75%) Season at current total
  • Both teams played over 155.5 in 40 of 55 (73%) Season at current total - Both teams
  • Golden State Valkyries played over 155.5 in 18 of 27 (67%) Season at current total

Under 158.5

  • Total moved down -1 from 159.5 to 158.5 Line movement